CAISO
Longest interconnection timelines in the country (~9 yrs), a massive backlogged queue, and comparatively modest data-center demand make CAISO a hard place to site large load despite active reform.
Author analysis. Review against primary sources before relying on this for project decisions.
Verified facts and placeholders
Facts- Total queue MW
- 140,000 MWas of 2026-06-17
- Total queue projects
- 413as of 2026-06-17
- Avg interconnection wait
- 9.2 yearsas of 2026-06-17
- Large-load queue MW
- 4,500 MWas of 2026-06-17
- Queue status
- reform-in-progress
- Large-load posture
- Developing
- Generation queue notes
- Cluster 15 (~347 GW) on hold while Cluster 14 (~94 GW) clears; ~185 GW in Cluster 14 and prior. New zonal, scored interconnection process (commercial interest 30% / viability 35% / system need 35%) approved by FERC. Merchant zones (<50 MW available capacity) require developers to fund upgrades. Interconnection Process Enhancements (IPE) 5.0 in progress.
- Large-load posture rationale
- ~4.5 GW of data-center demand in the 2025-2026 transmission planning cycle; CEC projects CAISO-area data-center load growth of 1.8 GW by 2030 and 4.9 GW by 2040 — modest versus PJM/ERCOT. Exploring interim/non-firm large-load transmission service, still early-stage.
Analyst read
Editorial analysis- Tier
- Challenged
- Rationale
- Longest interconnection timelines in the country (~9 yrs), a massive backlogged queue, and comparatively modest data-center demand make CAISO a hard place to site large load despite active reform.
- What's working
- Zonal scored process and heightened readiness gates are starting to improve queue throughput.
- No flex alerts since 2022, suggesting reliability reforms are holding.
- What's working against
- ~9.2-year average timelines, the longest of any ISO.
- Merchant-zone cost exposure and high development costs; modest data-center demand vs. PJM/ERCOT.
- One thing to watch
- Whether IPE 5.0 and Track 3 reforms meaningfully cut timelines for Cluster 16 and beyond.
- Analyst note
- California is reforming a genuinely clogged queue and making progress, but the timelines remain the worst in the country and data-center demand is comparatively light. For large-load siting it is a low-priority market unless a project has a specific California reason to be there. CAISO took 347 GW of Cluster 15 applications and let 68 GW through. The screen is the story: California filters hard at the door rather than carry a speculative queue.
Major announced projects in this market
Exhibit 2 · supportingProject signal tracking is intentionally blank in this baseline edition.
Recent reforms
Source-backed- 2024-10Zonal interconnection reform approved
FERC approved CAISO's zonal, scored interconnection process applying to Cluster 15, designating merchant zones where developers fund upgrades.
Source - 2025-10IPE 5.0 draft final proposal
CAISO released Interconnection Process Enhancements 5.0 draft final proposal, refining scoring, deliverability, and readiness reforms.
Source
Upcoming milestones
Source-backed- 2026Track 3 second FERC filing
CAISO to file second Track 3 reforms in 2026, with more granular processing timelines for Cluster 16 and future clusters.
Source
Sources & last updated
Provenance- Last updated
- 2026-06-17
- Source registry
- Utility Dive: CAISO reform / queue sizePulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: totalQueueMW, generationQueueNotes, recentReformshttps://www.utilitydive.com/news/ferc-california-caiso-interconnection-reform-plan/728633/
- Latitude Media: CAISO 9.2 yr timelinesPulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: avgInterconnectionWaitYearshttps://www.latitudemedia.com/news/interconnection-reform-and-load-growth-caisos-paradigm-shift/
- ZEG: CAISO large-load sessionPulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: largeLoadQueueMW, largeLoadPostureRationalehttps://www.zeroemissiongrid.com/iso-rto-meeting-summaries/caiso-large-load/
- Stoel Rives: IPE 5.0Pulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: recentReforms, generationQueueNoteshttps://www.stoel.com/insights/publications/refining-californias-grid-access-framework-caisos-draft-final-proposal-for-interconnection-process-enhancements-5-0
- CAISO IPE/queue briefing Jul 2025Pulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: totalQueueMW, upcomingMilestoneshttps://www.caiso.com/documents/briefing-on-the-status-of-interconnection-process-enhancements-and-the-interconnection-queue-jul-2025.pdf
- CAISO 2025-2026 transmission plan approvalPulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: largeLoadPostureRationalehttps://www.caiso.com/about/news/news-releases/iso-board-of-governors-approves-2025-2026-transmission-plan
- interconnection.fyi: live US ISO/utility queue dataPulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: totalQueueMW, totalQueueProjectshttps://www.interconnection.fyi
- California Public Advocates Office: Transmission Data Dashboard 2025Pulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: totalQueueMWhttps://www.publicadvocates.cpuc.ca.gov
- Zonevex: CAISO Cluster 15 results (347 GW to 68 GW)Pulled 2026-06-17 · Supports: totalQueueMW, totalQueueProjects, analystNotehttps://zonevex.com/blog/caiso-cluster-15-scoring-results